The head of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, Kiryu Budanov, gave an interview to the NV service. During the conversation, topics were raised, among others, about the future of Chersonia and Donbass. Budanov also expressed his opinion on the state of the Russian army. According to the head of Ukrainian intelligence, the mood of the Russian army is bad due to the defeats at the front.
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Kerio Budanov about the Russian army: They have the quantity, but they do not have the quality
During the interview, the head of the Ukrainian official said that the size of the Russian army as presented by the media is exaggerated. – It was great PR. All they spent their money on was to show the greatness of the Russian army in the world. Everyone can see now – there is no great army – he said. Only real war has shown real problems: it has quantity, not quality.
According to Bodano, the defeats on the Eastern Front showed the problems of the Russian army. As one of the main factors that contributed to the weakness of Vladimir Putin’s army, he cited the low motivation of soldiers to fight.
According to the head of Ukrainian intelligence, soldiers are forced to obey orders that come from above, and their opinion does not count in combat. Like it or not, there is an order, and it must be obeyed. He said if they don’t, they will go to jail.
Budanov: Russia is pushing two “crazy” measures against Kherson
On April 27, the Russians were to hold a referendum in Kherson, but their plans changed. According to independent Russian media, a vote on the independence of this region is scheduled for mid-May. According to Budanov, the original Kremlin plan failed due to lack of personnel.
The potential collaborators they relied on before the war did not come forward in many cases. Many people agreed to cooperate. But that’s a fairly low percentage, he said.
The head of Ukrainian intelligence said that Russian leaders are assuming two “crazy” types of actions against Kherson. The first is the reconstruction of the Tavria district, which will include the territory of Crimea, Kherson Oblast, part of Mykolaiv Oblast, part of Donetsk Oblast and Zaporizhia. The administrative city will be Simferopol in the Crimea.
The second idea is to create a “Heavenly City”, which will include Odessa, Kherson, Kherson Oblast, part of Mykolaiv Oblast, Dnipro and part of Donetsk Oblast.
The war in Ukraine. “Putin needs all of Donbass”
Kerio Budanov was also asked about Russia’s future actions in Donbass. According to the head of intelligence, Putin will want to take over the entire region – they need the whole Donbass to say nominally that the residents have chosen their way – he said.
According to the plans of the Kremlin, Russia was to declare victory in the Donbass on Victory Day (in Russia it is celebrated loudly on May 9). Budanov predicts that this will not happen. He said, “They don’t have time.”
The head of the intelligence service of the Ministry of National Defense of Ukraine also answered questions about the mobilization that Russia might start. Foreign experts have been reporting for several days that Vladimir Putin may officially declare war on Ukraine on D-Day.
“Russia has already switched to covert mobilization and is preparing to announce an open mobilization in the near future,” said the head of Ukrainian intelligence. According to Budanov, the Russians are currently checking “what they already have in stock and calculating whether they can issue packing orders.” “This is a very necessary step before any real mobilization begins,” he says.
– I’m just curious how do they explain that to their people? Why does Russia, what they say, the first or second army in the world, need to mobilize when, according to their official reports, everything is going according to plan? – Asked.
Budanov on Gerasimov’s visit to the wealth line: if he was forced to go to the front, then something must have happened
The Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Army, General Valery Gerasimov, visited the front line in eastern Ukraine last weekend. According to Western experts — including Pentagon officials — the purpose of the visit was to try to reverse the offensive’s weakness there. According to Budanov, if one of Putin’s most important partners went to the Eastern Front, he must have had a very important reason.
– There is only one reason – unsatisfactory plans to move forward. The forces were supposed to complete the “special operation” by April 24, but Putin completely failed. They were due to complete the operation in the Donbass by May 9. This goal also will not be achieved. He said.
Failure to comply with orders will further complicate the political coloring of the entire process of taking over Ukraine. How will Putin organize the Victory Day rally now? What will he say? Budanov said that Putin cannot admit that he is losing to Ukraine.
Budanov on two scenarios for the end of the war: the first is the division of Russia
A Nevada journalist asked Budanov about the possible use of nuclear weapons by Russia.
– There has always been an opportunity to use tactical nuclear weapons. There is no point in using strategic nuclear weapons because we are close enough. But tactical nuclear weapons and their use will simply hasten Russia’s end. Budanov replied that this war was over.
According to the intelligence chief, there are two options for ending the war. The first is the division of Russia into at least three parts. The second – the relative preservation of the territorial integrity of the Russian Federation when changing the leadership of the country. He said that in the latter case, the new commander should say that he had nothing to do with Russian aggression.
Budanov is convinced that Ukraine will win the war. When asked what will happen to Vladimir Putin after the conflict ends, he replied: – Leaving him a way back is an option, but it is almost unrealistic. He is a war criminal. It’s the end of it, stuck in a dead end.